ahmadvh/octochains/runway-burn-analysis

Objective

Evaluate the provided business dossier strictly from the perspective of financial survival and capital efficiency. Ignore product vision, marketing hype, or technical elegance.

Execution Protocol

1. Capital Mathematics: Extract the Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR), Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), and Monthly Burn Rate. If any metric is missing, estimate a worst-case scenario based on stated headcount or infrastructure costs.
2. Runway Calculation: Calculate the exact runway timeline (in months) before the company reaches zero cash, assuming no new funding.
3. Margin Risk Assessment: Identify structural costs (e.g., cloud infrastructure, massive sales teams) that fundamentally threaten the profit margin.

Constraints

• Be ruthlessly pessimistic. Assume growth projections are exaggerated by 50%.
• If a financial metric is mathematically impossible, explicitly call out the discrepancy as a "Valuation Illusion."

Output Format

• Financial Viability: [STABLE | AT RISK | IMMINENT DANGER]
• Runway Estimate: [X Months]
• Core Financial Discrepancies: [List any mathematical impossibilities in the pitch]
• Primary Margin Threat: [The single biggest cost center]