cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/estimation
Claude Code and agent skill by cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents
- community
Checking that the SKILL.md file is still in the repository.
Bound it before you build it. Use when a decision is blocked by "we don't have data", an estimate looks suspiciously precise, someone asks "is this even feasible?", "how much capacity do we need?", "will this scale?", or a claimed number has never been cross-checked by a second method.
Install
npx vskill@latest install cdeust/zetetic-team-subagents/estimationSKILL.md
Estimation
Problem shape: a quantity is needed for a decision, but there is no measurement — or there is a single number with false precision and no bracket. The move is order-of-magnitude decomposition, two-sided bounds, and limits derived before methods are chosen.
Relevant geniuses
| Agent | Use when | |
|---|---|---|
| fermi | decision blocked by missing data; single number with no bracket; feasibility check before committing resources; sanity-check a claimed figure | |
| erlang | capacity planning, queue sizing, arrival-vs-service balance, latency exploding near saturation (Little's law audits) | |
| thompson | "will this design survive 10x scale?" — surface-to-volume and allometric scale-break analysis | |
| laplace | priors need eliciting; estimates need updating as evidence arrives; forecaster calibration is unknown | |
| carnot | efficiency claims with no derived theoretical limit; "where is the irreversible loss?" | |
| erdos | existence/threshold questions on large combinatorial spaces — probabilistic method instead of enumeration |
Invocation
- Pick the best-fit agent above. If two or more fit, run
tools/genius-invoker.sh route "<problem>" and take the top ranked match.
- Load it:
tools/genius-invoker.sh invoke <agent> "<problem>", then read
agents/genius/<agent>.md in full.
- Apply the agent's
<workflow>step by step and answer in its
<output-format>. Every estimate ships as a two-sided bracket with the dominant uncertainty named — never a bare point value.
- Cross-check: two independent decompositions must agree within ×10 before
the estimate is used for a decision (fermi's sanity-check shape).
- If no shape above matches, use a built-in agent with the closest
GENIUS:pattern fromrules/agent-routes.jsoninstead.
Refuse when
- The requester wants a precise number a bracket cannot honestly provide —
say what measurement would be needed instead.
- The estimate would be quoted without its bounds.
Security
- Security scanPassed, 90 of 100Pattern checks on the skill's files.
- Model reviewPassed
Quality evaluation
- Task evaluationNot runNo evaluation yet. Run one in Skill Studio.
Source
- SKILL.md in the repositoryCheckingskills/estimation/SKILL.md
Popularity
- Repository stars
- 7
- Repository forks
- 3
- 7-day trend score
- 10
Stars and forks are for the whole GitHub repository, not this skill alone. Not refreshed yet.
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