chefroger/smart-trade-ai/b2b-customs-data

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海关数据分析 — 进出口记录查询、采购商筛选、市场趋势分析

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SKILL.md

海关数据分析(Customs Data Analysis)

从进出口贸易记录中筛选高价值采购商,输出可直接用于触达的目标客户清单。

Phase 1: Input Preparation

两种输入路径:

  1. 有数据文件(CSV/Excel 导出)→ 直接分析:逐个文件完整读取,保留原始行序与列名
  2. 无数据文件 → 输出分析方法论 + 数据获取渠道建议(官方海关统计、商业贸易数据库等),不编造数据

简易方案(无海关数据时专用)

【简易方案,非海关数据】

本节是简易方案,不是海关数据本身。 如果用户 / 客户已有海关数据(CSV / Excel 导出、付费数据库),以海关数据为准。 简易方案不得覆盖海关数据,不得在与海关数据矛盾时优先,不得把简易方案的结果写成海关数据。 简易方案只在没有海关数据时用,作用是初步线索与沟通切入点,不作最终采购判断。

适用条件
  • 用户只给了公司名(可加产品 / 市场),没有海关数据文件。
  • 用户问的是:这家公司有没有从中国进口过产品、进口了什么产品、哪里进口。
搜索公式(公开渠道,逐条执行,不批量抓取)
  1. 先用 LinkedIn / 官网确认公司全称、官网、地址,再搜,避免只凭简称认错公司。
  2. Google 搜索(任选组合,不编造):
  • "公司全称" + import data
  • "公司全称" + import records
  • "公司全称" + shipments
  • site:importyeti.com "公司全称"
  • "公司全称" importer + 产品关键词(有产品关键词时加)
  1. 只读公开页面可见内容,不绕付费墙,不批量翻页抓取,把查询链接给用户,作人工核对。
提取字段(只提取页面上写明的,不推算)
  • 收货人全称、发货人(供应商)、产品描述、原产国(是否中国)、日期、港口、来源 URL。
  • 不编造数量、金额、频率、年总量。页面没写的字段,标注“页面未写”,不推测填充。
核对与诚实边界(全部是硬性要求)
  • 重名、缩写、收货人 vs 通知方容易混,必须用地址 / 官网 / LinkedIn 对上号再认;对不上号的,标注“未核对”,不得认。
  • 覆盖面:主要覆盖美国进口公开提单,其他市场覆盖不全。搜不到不等于没进口,必须明说。
  • 证据等级:Google 摘要不算证据,必须点开源页面、标来源 URL 与日期,按 [确切] / [推断] 区分。
  • 数据溯源:用户提供 CSV / Excel 时注明文件名 + 列名 + 行号(不要求 URL);公开网页来源注明 URL + 查询日期(查询日期 = 实际检索当天,不是文章发布日期;不得用文件行号冒充 URL)。
  • 回答的第一段必须是数据来源声明(在任何结论、转录、人物介绍之前):「本报告未使用官方海关数据,仅为公开信息初步判断;若有官方海关数据请提供,以官方数据为准」——即使找到了第三方提单索引也必须写。
  • 给客户的开发信、草稿里只能写“公开记录显示……”,不能写“你的海关数据显示……”或把推断写成已确认事实。
  • 简易方案结果只能进初步筛选 / 沟通切入点 / P3 培育,不得单独支撑 P1;要打 P1,须用户提供海关数据验证后重新按 Phase 4 评分。
  • 公司真伪验证不属于本技能(用 b2b-osint),简易方案也不能代替真伪验证。
  • 证据分级:只有真正打开原页看到的内容才标 [确切];搜索引擎摘要 / 索引片段一律标 [推断] 或 [未核对]。每条 [确切] 必须带来源 URL 与查询日期。
  • 人物背景检索:目标是人时,先确认姓名 + 公司 + 职务,再搜“姓名 + 公司 + 履历/experience”“姓名 + 前雇主”“当地语言职务词”;以上查询都执行过,才可写“未找到”。履历段必须写出前雇主(找到就写名称与时间;没找到就明写“前雇主检索未命中”),不得只写到现任公司。
  • 来源选择:优先官方 / 公开聚合源;公司级明细在付费墙后就如实写“受限”,不得因单一站点打不开就断言“没有数据”。
  • 人名引用:第三方联系人 / 员工必须附来源 URL 或标“未核实”;无来源不得写成对方现员工。
  • 实体分层:全球 / 集团数据不得当成单一法人实体数据;按实体分层,每层注明实体名、注册号(如适用)、港口(如适用)、统计期。
  • 百分比口径:任何百分比必须写分母(票数 / 金额)、口径(全球 / 美国 / 当地)、统计期、来源。
  • 品类判断:必须依据 HS 编码 + 产品描述,不得只凭名称推断。
  • 输出格式:每条关键证据逐条标 [确切] / [推断] / [未核对];开头一律声明数据来源等级(未使用官方海关数据时写明“仅为公开信息初步判断,若有官方数据以官方为准”);结尾必须给优先级归类(简易方案默认 P3;降级或升级都必须写明依据;有官方海关数据验证后按 Phase 4 重评);不得把部分一致写成“全部对得上”,绝对否定须限定“在可查到的公开渠道里”;不同数据库 / 口径 / 统计期的数字必须分开注明,不得拼成一张表。

Phase 2: Filtering — 四层筛选

Filter 1: Product Match
Include:
- Buyers importing products that match (or complement) user's product line
- Downstream manufacturers using user's product as input
Exclude:
- Products outside user's business scope
- Raw materials that are inputs to user's product (not final product)
Filter 2: Geographic Targeting
Include based on user's target markets:
- Specific countries/regions (North America, Europe, Southeast Asia)
- Avoid: countries with trade restrictions or high tariffs
Exclude:
- Markets user is not targeting
- Regions with regulatory barriers
Filter 3: Volume & Frequency
Include:
- Buyers with regular import patterns (multiple shipments per year)
- Volume sufficient for user's MOQ
Exclude:
- One-time buyers (no repeat business potential)
- Volume below user's MOQ
Filter 4: Company Type
Include:
- Manufacturers (final product buyers)
- Brand owners
- Large distributors
Exclude:
- Small retailers (below threshold)
- Trading companies acting as intermediaries

Phase 3: Buyer Pattern Analysis

For each qualified buyer, analyze:

Purchase Patterns
MetricWhat It Tells You
FrequencyHow often they buy (monthly/quarterly/annually)
Volume trendGrowing, stable, or declining purchases
SeasonalityPeak buying seasons
Supplier concentrationDo they rely on few or many suppliers?
Price sensitivityVolume vs. price correlations
Example Analysis (Generic Template)
Company: [Buyer Name]
Country: [Country]
Products imported: [Product categories]
Annual volume: [Estimated value]
Frequency: [X] shipments/year
Typical order size: [Range]
Suppliers: [Number of suppliers] (mostly from [countries])
Patterns:
- Peak season: [Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4]
- Order cycle: [Monthly/Quarterly]
- Last shipment: [Date]
Potential approach:
- Angle: [Based on their supplier concentration/price trends]
- Timing: [Best time to reach out]
- Product focus: [Which of your products fits their pattern]

Phase 4: Priority Scoring

Score each prospect based on:

Scoring Matrix
CriteriaWeightScore (1-5)
Industry match25%How well product aligns
Volume potential25%Order size and frequency
Geographic fit20%Your ability to serve
Accessibility15%Ease of outreach (LinkedIn, email, etc.)
Growth trend15%Purchase volume trend
Priority Classification
Total ScorePriorityAction
4.0 - 5.0P1 — HotImmediate outreach within 24h
3.0 - 3.9P2 — WarmPersonalized outreach within 1 week
2.0 - 2.9P3 — MediumAdd to nurture sequence
< 2.0P4 — LowPeriodic check-ins only

Phase 5: Output — Target Customer List

Output Format
# B2B Trade Data Analysis Report
## Summary
- Total records analyzed: [X]
- Qualified prospects: [X]
- By priority: P1=[X], P2=[X], P3=[X], P4=[X]
- Geographic distribution: [Chart/Table]
## P1 Prospects (Immediate Action)
### 1. [Company Name]
| Field | Details |
|-------|---------|
| Country | [Country] |
| Products | [Product categories] |
| Est. Annual Volume | [Value] |
| Frequency | [X]x/year |
| Last Purchase | [Date] |
| Key Suppliers | [Countries] |
| Approach Angle | [How to position] |
| Recommended Action | [Specific next step] |
### 2. [Company Name]
[Same structure]
## P2 Prospects (This Week)
[Same structure]
## P3-P4 Prospects (Nurture)
[Condensed list format]
## Market Insights
1. [Key finding about the market]
2. [Key finding about competitor suppliers]
3. [Opportunity identified]
## Appendix: Full Data Table
| Company | Country | Product | Volume | Frequency | Score | Priority |
|---------|---------|---------|--------|-----------|-------|----------|
| [Name] | [Country] | [Product] | [Value] | [Freq] | [X.X] | P1 |

Phase 6: Integration with Outreach

From Data to Action

For P1 prospects, generate:

  1. Customer Brief: 1-page summary of the prospect
  2. Customized Outreach: Cold email referencing their specific purchase patterns
  3. Talking Points: Based on their supplier concentration, price trends, seasonality
Outreach Angle Examples
If they buy from multiple suppliers:
"We noticed you work with several [product] suppliers in [country].
We're a specialized manufacturer focusing on [specific product segment].
Would you be open to exploring if we can offer better [specific advantage]?"
If they have seasonal patterns:
"Public records show peak season in [Q2].
We're reaching out now because we'd like to discuss how we can
support your [Q2] requirements with our [product] capabilities."
If they recently expanded volume:
"Congratulations on your growth in [product category]!
We've helped similar companies scale their [specific need].
Would you be open to a brief call to explore if we're a fit?"

Quality Standards

  1. Data accuracy: Cross-check key data points (company names, volumes) against multiple rows
  2. HS code validation: Ensure HS codes are correctly interpreted for product mapping
  3. Currency consistency: Note currency in value fields; flag inconsistencies
  4. No assumptions: If a field is ambiguous, note it rather than guess
  5. Source citation: Always cite the source file and row numbers for key findings
  6. Column mapping disclosure: 分析报告中首次引用数据时,注明对应的原始文件列名。

例如:"进口量数据来自文件中「Total Import QTY」列"。这样用户可以快速判断列解读是否正确。

  1. Completeness: Include all relevant fields in output, even if values are missing

Common Pitfalls

  1. Over-relying on volume: Big buyers may already have established suppliers — look for disruption opportunities
  2. Ignoring frequency: One-time large orders may not indicate ongoing business potential
  3. Missing seasonality: Outreach timed wrong can kill opportunity before it starts
  4. Generic outreach: Always customize message based on the specific buyer's patterns
  5. Not verifying data: Company names may have typos or different spellings — verify before outreach
  6. Privacy concerns: Customs data may have usage restrictions — ensure compliance

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