danielrosehill/claude-decision-evaluation-framework-plugin/base-rates
Claude Code and agent skill by danielrosehill/claude-decision-evaluation-framework-plugin
Trust tier 3
- community
Source check pending
Checking that the SKILL.md file is still in the repository.
Apply Kahneman's outside view — define the reference class, look up the historical base rate, and benchmark the inside-view prediction against it. Produces a 0-100 score.
Install
npx vskill@latest install danielrosehill/claude-decision-evaluation-framework-plugin/base-ratesSKILL.md
Base Rates / Outside View
Single-framework analysis. Use when the user wants this lens specifically, or when called as a building block by /decision:analyze.
Inputs
- A decision file path (markdown). If the user describes a decision verbally instead, run
/decision:new-decisionfirst.
Procedure
- Locate the framework guide at the plugin install dir's
frameworks/base-rates.md. Read it fully.
- Read the decision file fully.
- Apply the framework exactly as the guide specifies. Don't invent additional structure. Don't merge in other frameworks — that's the orchestrator's job.
- Output destination:
- If the user invoked this standalone, write the analysis inline as the response (and offer to save it to a path).
- If invoked as a subagent by
/decision:analyze, write to the fragment path the orchestrator provides (fragments/base-rates.md).
- End with the score line
## Score: <0-100>per the guide's scoring rubric.
Notes
- Stay inside the framework. If you notice that a different framework would have surfaced something this one missed, note it briefly at the end (
## Cross-framework note) but don't switch lenses.
Security
- Security scanPassed, 90 of 100Pattern checks on the skill's files.
- Model reviewPassed
Quality evaluation
- Task evaluationNot runNo evaluation yet. Run one in Skill Studio.
Source
- SKILL.md in the repositoryCheckingskills/base-rates/SKILL.md
Popularity
- Repository stars
- 4
- Repository forks
- 2
- 7-day trend score
- 13
Stars and forks are for the whole GitHub repository, not this skill alone. Not refreshed yet.
Works with
Any agent vskill installs to: 56 targets in all. These 39 have a page on this site.
- Claude Code
- Cursor
- GitHub Copilot
- Windsurf
- Codex
- Gemini CLI
- Cline
- Amp
- Roo Code
- Goose
- Continue
- Kilo Code
- Junie
- Trae
- OpenHands
- Qwen Code
- AI Agent
- Tabnine Chat
- Sourcegraph Cody
- Amazon Q
- Firebase Genkit
- Sweep
- Devin
- Phind
- Mentat
- Claude Desktop
- Aider
- GPT Pilot
- Plandex
- bolt.new
- v0
- Replit Agent
- Anse
- TypingMind
- BetterChatGPT
- LibreChat
- Warp AI
- Pieces
- Fig AI
Embed badge
[](https://verified-skill.com/skills/danielrosehill/claude-decision-evaluation-framework-plugin/base-rates)