himanshuj16/tradefloor/review

tradefloor: review the record

Arguments: $ARGUMENTS

1. Call journal_review(symbol) (symbol optional, from $ARGUMENTS if given).
2. Reply with:

• Summary: scored calls, open calls, hit rate, Brier score for p(up) and the

base-rate reference Brier, and beats_base_rate.

• A table of scored calls, newest first: date, symbol, horizon, call, p(up),

realized return, outcome, hit, stop hit.

• Open calls with bars elapsed out of the horizon.

1. Interpret without spin:

• Under 30 scored calls, the hit rate is noise. Say that first.
• Beating the base-rate Brier is the bar. A 60% hit rate on an asset that rose 60% of

the time is no skill.

• Separate quant from full calls if both exist, so the user can see whether the

agent layer adds anything over the price model.

1. For the three worst misses, read the run folder (run_dir in the entry) if it exists

and name, in one line each, what the desk missed.

If the journal is empty, say so and point to the direction and analyze procedures, which record calls automatically. The journal lives in ~/.tradefloor/journal.sqlite3 and is shared by every agent host.