huangpustar/metainfer/falsifiable-hypothesis

Claude Code and agent skill by huangpustar/metainfer

Trust tier 2
  • community
LLM review pending
Source check pending

Checking that the SKILL.md file is still in the repository.

动手前写下可证伪的预期:证据、机制、预期指标变化方向与幅度、证伪条件。无预期的假设禁止进入实现。

Install

npx vskill@latest install huangpustar/metainfer/falsifiable-hypothesis

SKILL.md

假设必须可证伪

何时触发:为任何改动形成"这样做应该会更好"的判断时。

规则

  • 每次改动前写明四要素:证据(观测到什么)、机制(为什么改动会影响它)、预期(指标变化的方向和幅度)、证伪条件(看到什么就承认错了)。
  • 无预期方向的假设禁止进入实现——否则结果差时无法区分"改坏了"和"本来就这样"。
  • 改动后对照预期复盘:方向对不对、幅度够不够;预期落空即假设被否定,回分析层,不做解释性追加改动。
  • 证据矛盾或不足时动手等于赌:回测量加探针。
  • 因果断言必须能回答"什么机制产生了这个观测";答不上来的解释不写进结论。

反模式信号

  • "改了试试看"——没有预期,结果无论好坏都学不到东西。
  • 两边输入不同却解释"结果应该一样"——经不起一句反问。

Security

  • Security scanPassed, 100 of 100Pattern checks on the skill's files.
  • Model reviewNot runA model review is scheduled for the next rescan.

Quality evaluation

  • Task evaluationNot runNo evaluation yet. Run one in Skill Studio.

Source

Popularity

Repository stars
122
Repository forks
17
7-day trend score
0

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