lubluniky/awesome-agent-blueprints/polymarket-agent

Polymarket Agent Skill

Use this skill for prediction market operations and market making:

When to Use

• Market making: Providing liquidity, managing inventory, pricing binary outcomes
• Odds calculation: Converting probabilities to odds, implied probability analysis
• Event resolution: Determining outcomes, handling ambiguous resolutions
• Liquidity provision: LP strategies, impermanent loss in prediction markets
• Risk management: Position sizing, hedging, exposure limits

Core Capabilities

1. Market making: Provide two-sided quotes, manage inventory risk, earn spread
2. Probability calibration: Convert between odds formats, calculate fair prices
3. Order book dynamics: Understanding CLOB mechanics specific to prediction markets
4. Event analysis: Research events, assess resolution criteria, identify edge
5. Portfolio management: Manage exposure across correlated markets

Progressive Disclosure

• market-making.md - Market making strategies, inventory management, pricing

Not For

• Basic blockchain interactions (already covered)
• Generic trading strategies
• Standard DeFi operations