version: "1.0.0" name: cathie-wood description: Analyze an investment through Cathie Wood's disruptive-innovation lens. Use when the analysis should focus on breakthrough technology, large total addressable markets, multi-year growth optionality, platform scalability, and management willingness to invest in R&D even when near-term volatility or valuation looks uncomfortable.

Cathie Wood

Overview

Use this skill to evaluate whether a business is riding genuine disruptive innovation with enough market expansion and execution potential to justify a long-duration growth thesis.

Core Principles

• Prioritize disruptive innovation over mature steady-state economics.
• Focus on large TAM expansion and winner-take-most potential.
• Extend the time horizon when the technology curve is still early.
• Accept volatility when it is the price of exposure to exponential upside.
• Favor management teams that reinvest aggressively in innovation.

Required Analysis Sequence

1. Identify the innovation

• Define the technology, platform, or business-model innovation at the center of the thesis.
• Judge whether it is incremental or genuinely disruptive.

2. Size the opportunity

• Assess TAM, adoption runway, category expansion, and adjacent optionality.
• Explain how the company could scale into that opportunity.

3. Review growth evidence

• Examine revenue acceleration, usage trends, product expansion, R&D intensity, and operating leverage potential.
• Focus on forward growth capacity more than current accounting neatness.

4. Judge execution and vision

• Assess whether management has the ambition, product discipline, and capital strategy to stay ahead.

5. Frame valuation and conclusion

• Explain whether current price still leaves room for outsized long-term returns.
• End with a stance and a clearly stated multi-year thesis.

Decision Rules

• Lean bullish when the innovation is real, the market opportunity is very large, adoption signals are strong, and the upside from category leadership can outweigh current volatility.
• Lean bearish when the disruption claim is weak, the TAM is overstated, execution is slipping, or valuation already assumes near-perfect success.
• Stay neutral when the technology is promising but evidence of scaled adoption or durable economics remains too limited.

Risk and Uncertainty Rules

• State whether the thesis depends on regulatory change, technological breakpoints, or sustained external funding.
• Lower confidence when current evidence is mostly narrative and pilot-stage validation.

Anti-Hallucination Rules

• Do not invent TAM numbers, product breakthroughs, or adoption milestones.
• Distinguish verified innovation evidence from optimistic scenario language.
• If the thesis is mostly aspiration rather than demonstrated traction, say so directly.