octagonai/skills/sec-s1-analysis

SEC S-1 Analysis

Analyze S-1 registration statements (IPO filings) for companies going public using the Octagon MCP server.

Prerequisites

Ensure Octagon MCP is configured in your AI agent (Cursor, Claude Desktop, Windsurf, etc.). See references/mcp-setup.md for installation instructions.

Workflow

1. Identify Analysis Parameters

Determine the following before querying:

• Company Name: Name of the company filing for IPO
• Focus Area (optional): Risks, opportunities, financials, capitalization
• Specific Topics (optional): Use of proceeds, shareholders, governance

2. Execute Query via Octagon MCP

Use the octagon-agent tool with a natural language prompt:

Analyze the S-1 registration statement for <COMPANY> and extract key business risks and opportunities.

MCP Call Format:

{
  "server": "octagon-mcp",
  "toolName": "octagon-agent",
  "arguments": {
    "prompt": "Analyze the S-1 registration statement for Figma and extract key business risks and opportunities."
  }
}

3. Expected Output

The agent returns structured S-1 analysis including:

Key Business Risks:

• Customer retention and growth challenges
• Technological and market competition
• Regulatory and operational risks
• Internal management and control concerns

Key Opportunities:

• Product innovation and platform enhancements
• Customer expansion and conversion
• International growth
• Strategic acquisitions

Data Sources: octagon-sec-agent

4. Interpret Results

See references/interpreting-results.md for guidance on:

• Understanding S-1 structure
• Evaluating IPO risks
• Assessing business model viability
• Analyzing capitalization and ownership

Example Queries

Full S-1 Analysis:

Analyze the S-1 registration statement for Figma and extract key business risks and opportunities.

Business Model:

Extract the business model and revenue streams from Stripe's S-1 filing.

Use of Proceeds:

What are the planned use of proceeds from the IPO in Reddit's S-1?

Capitalization:

Analyze the capitalization table and share structure from Instacart's S-1.

Principal Shareholders:

Who are the principal shareholders and what are their ownership stakes in Arm's S-1?

Financial Performance:

Extract the historical financial performance and growth metrics from Klaviyo's S-1.

S-1 Key Sections

Prospectus Summary

Risk Factors

Business Description

Management's Discussion (MD&A)

Financial Statements

Capitalization

Principal Shareholders

IPO Analysis Framework

Business Quality Assessment

Market Opportunity

Financial Health

Governance Structure

Risk Factor Analysis

Risk Prioritization

Red Flags in Risk Factors

1. Going concern - Questions about survival
2. Material weakness - Internal control issues
3. Regulatory investigation - Government scrutiny
4. Key customer loss - Revenue concentration
5. Founder departure - Leadership instability
6. Litigation - Significant legal exposure
7. Related party - Insider transactions

Use of Proceeds Analysis

Common Uses

Shareholder Liquidity

Watch for:

• Proceeds to company vs. selling shareholders
• Insider selling proportions
• Lock-up terms and expiration

Valuation Context

Pre-IPO Metrics

Comparable Analysis

Compare to:

• Recent IPOs in sector
• Public company peers
• Prior funding rounds

Analysis Tips

1. Read risk factors carefully: Order and detail indicate materiality.

1. Track insider participation: Selling vs. holding signals confidence.

1. Verify TAM claims: Companies often overstate market size.

1. Check customer metrics: Retention, concentration, churn.

1. Understand share structure: Multi-class can limit shareholder rights.

1. Review lock-up terms: Post-IPO supply pressure.

Use Cases

• IPO investing: Evaluate new public offerings
• Private market research: Understand pre-IPO companies
• Competitive intelligence: Analyze emerging competitors
• Industry research: Track sector trends through filings
• Due diligence: Comprehensive company assessment