tensology/decisionsai/prediction-market-risk-review

Prediction Market Risk Review

Use this skill before a prediction-market workflow touches user financial context, venue authentication, portfolio data, automation, or execution-capable tools.

Review Gates

Advice Boundary

• Confirm the output is informational.
• Remove buy/sell/hold/size recommendations.
• Keep manual user decision points explicit.

Venue And Regulatory Boundary

• Identify venue terms, geography restrictions, account limits, and API rules.
• Flag betting, derivatives, securities, or commodities ambiguity for legal

review when relevant.

• Do not bypass venue restrictions or rate limits.

Data Quality

• Check market liquidity, spread, resolution rules, stale prices, and source

timestamps.

• Separate public venue data from Itô gated data.
• Do not mix public and private sources without labels.

Security

• Do not request or store private keys, seed phrases, or passwords.
• Keep ITO_API_KEY and venue API keys out of logs and docs.
• Use read-only scopes by default.
• Require circuit breakers, spend limits, dry runs, and human approval before

any private implementation adds execution.

Privacy

• Minimize user portfolio, financial, and knowledge-base data.
• Redact private sources in public artifacts.
• Preserve only the fields needed for the review.

Output Contract

Return:

1. scope reviewed
2. pass/warn/fail findings
3. blocked actions
4. required mitigations
5. safe next step

If any execution-capable step is requested, require a separate implementation plan and explicit user approval.